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Economics
Economies of Spain and Germany
Economies of Spain and Germany Germany’s Economic System the Federal Republic of Germany’s economy has now flourished despite its harsh times that have been faced throughout the decades. Most people know about Germany from its historic involvement in World War II; its successful campaign to unite East and West with the successful collapse of the Berlin Wall; and its world class development and production of automobiles. Unfortunately, what most people don’t know is that Germany continues to fight an uphill battle in keeping its established ranking among the world’s most important economic powers. A historic look back at Germany shows that after its fall in World War II, it needed a massive rebuilding in order regain its status that it once held. Various events took place that helped it re-climb the pedestal ladder. The year 1948 brought a currency reform that was the turning point for economic reform. There was a continuous economic growth each year for Western Germany, but the strict, conservative ways of East Germany’s communist rule still slowed true growth in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). To make matters worse, the whole country experienced a significant drop in its GDP, causing a recession from 1976 through to 1985. There was a growth again for the next eight years before a major down ward spiral began in 1992. Germany’s early ‘90s spiral was attributed to the reunification of the country between 1989 and 1990. Once the two countries formed their one republic, the economy took its major tumble. Economists have figured this to be true because West Germany continued to evolve with industrial and technological breakthroughs and standards, while the communist East Germany adhered to traditional, unproductive ways that in some cases dated back to the 1940s and World War II times. So instead of combining to form an economic powerhouse, the GDP tumbled and caused a massive surge to restructure and work began to regain the decades of reform that were no longer noticeable. The Republic formed after reunification consists of 16 states, which is still looked at and measured as East and West Germany. Despite all of these states following the established free-market economy, there is still a noticeable gap between the economies of the two sections. German government assistance of nearly $100 billion annually has helped to contribute to an increased growth rate for eastern states. Despite this growth, a look at the added Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of eastern states – $108.3 billion, an increase of 9% from the previous year – shows it falls significantly short of the $1.23 trillion GDP of western states. The Western states recouped with a 2.3% increase that year, recovering from their 1.9% decline the previous year. So combined, this gives the Republic a valued GDP, in 1994, of nearly $1.34 trillion. To note another significant difference – the $5,950 national product per capita for workers in the East severely undercuts the $19, 660 for Western workers. One of the largest contributors to the GDP is manufacturing and the goods that it produces – claiming nearly 40% of the total GDP every year since 1992. This shows that the industry has steadily improved after its immediate 40% tumble it took back in 1989. It has not yet been figured if the GDP dropped because of the lack if manufacturing output, or the fact that both East and West Germany were now being figured into the equation as one instead of a split. Germany’s main industrial area is the Ruhr Valley, in which a various amount of products are produced. The principle production item is the refinement of petroleum. This ranks first among other items such as steel castings; iron; cement; chemicals, resins and plastics; automotive vehicles, railroad rolling stock, aircraft; and cotton and other woolen fibers. Agriculture accounts for 2% of the GDP. Its chief vegetable crops include cabbage, carrots and cauliflower; while pears, apples, plums and strawberries lead the fruit crops. The country is also a leader in the production of hops, which helps contribute to its notoriety in the beer-industry. Wine grapes grown in the Rhine and Moselle Valleys help develop that notable industry. Germany has a fair balance of trade. Its exports include chemicals, motor vehicles, iron, steel and other raw materials. The value of these and other exports in 1996 where estimated at DM772 billion. Among items imported into the country are electrical products and apparel. With these products, the value of imports to Germany were DM670 billion. The most trade activity occurred with France, valuing their partnership at DM71 billion for exports and DM84 billion for imports. The United States figures stand at DM48 billion and DM60 billion from import/export respectively. The largest difference in commodity distribution is raw materials with DM35 billion of it being imported and DM6 billion being exported. German government, or Bundestag, has continued to work hard to make sure that the economy has continued on the path to stabilization. It had faced tough issues that have arisen because of unification. The Bundestag may make the decisions on what to do about the economic status and how to make corrections, but it is the job of the Central Bank to carry them out. The economic growth of Western Germany had see-sawed considerably. There was an economic boom caused by the increase in consumer demand and capital spending for two years followed by a drop. All this happened as the eastern states needed an increase in support payments to help them get back on their feet. The Central Bank, known as the Bundesbank, needed to prevent any more pressures of inflation placed on them. In doing so, a high, short-term interest rate was instituted – thus curbing any further economic activity. The Bundesbank saw an improvement in conditions and the eastern states experienced a 10% rate of growth, one of the highest in the entire European region. To further improvement, the Bundesbank saw the appreciation of the Deutsche Mark. Unemployment was a problem that the country was facing from the horrors of World War II to 1998. It has reached its highs and lows, with a 1996 statistic stating that of the 39.96 million in the work force, 3.97 million of those were unemployed. A large part of it has to do with the country’s economy that continues to see-saw, requiring quick intervention by the Bundesbank and Bundestag. The eastern states faced the worst of it because to this day they continue to reform and with reforms come work force reduction. Germany’s labor is fully unionized and the government has special courts to help settle any disputes. To help further curb of unemployment rate increase, a national program is in place to help place workers whose jobs have been phased out due to automation. Germany has had its share of economic hardships and successes. It’s the commitment to the people by the Bundestag that has helped rank it among the top economic powers of the world. As a tourist, traveling to the luscious land of Spain, it is safe to say that one would not take interest in its ever fluctuating economy. One would be too taken with their surroundings, drinking in the glorious glow that is Basque country. Cushioned between mysterious Portugal and the romantic history of France, surrounded by beautiful beaches and breathtaking mountaintops, Spain gives off an air of superiority, a land of pride and privilege. But beyond its appearance lies a struggling country, a place where pesetas (the common currency in Spain) are sometimes scarce, and where the government struggles to keep financial hold. A countryman's country due to its agrarian culture, Spain has taken great strides to help their people, using their money to create toll-free highways, deflating the public deficit, fighting for worker's rights, including wage increases. Still, Spain's flailing capitalist economy is far behind the leading West European countries' economies. Although in the past decade it has made incredible strides toward progressing into the next millennium, Spain has its work cut out for them in the near future in order to contend with the other West European economies. Although the inflation rate is low, interest rates are low, and the government has continued to advocate liberalization, privatization, and deregulation of the economy while introducing new tax reforms, Spain has a 20% unemployment rate that ranks highest in the EU. Spain’s mixed capitalist economy will be posed with difficult challenges in the next few years with monetary and other economic policies, and will need a stable government to become more competitive with an integrated Europe. However, Spain has made a great deal of progress, considering its wavering economic past. World War II was the beginning of the distance between Spain and the rest of the European nations. Due to the fact that Spain never entered the war, the country never received the benefits from the European recovery plans, holding it in a situation of complete solitude. After the Civil War in Spain, an inward-looking development model, also known as autarky, was adopted due to its isolation with its surrounding neighbors. This economic policy was based on the conviction that the “Spanish economy had the resources to produce enough, without depending on other countries, to satisfy all society’s needs while achieving economic development.” Due to the Spanish economy’s lack of sufficient raw materials, technology, and size for developing businesses large enough to be competitive and capable of generating an ample amount capital to import necessities for growth, the plan ultimately failed. Eventually, the Stabilization Plan of 1959 was constructed to open the doors to the entry of goods and foreign capital. The Stabilization Plan consisted of the entry of capital into Spain through tourism, remittances sent home by Spanish workers who emigrated to more developed European countries, and foreign investment. Although it was unstable, this new economic plan was much more successful than the Autarky economic policy. Also referred to as a “stop-and-go” policy, it generated a more intensive use of capital than would have been expected by the physical work capital resources of the country. The work force dramatically increased, with the loss of jobs in agriculture (the traditional way in which Spaniards made a living) and the growth of the tertiary sector, which incorporated women into the workplace. Steel, shipbuilding, textiles, and footwear were the main industries, which utilized standard technology and based its competitiveness on its cheap labor and its capital on a cheap money monetary system. In time, due to Spain’s lack of adapting to the rest of the world’s technological advances, an economic crisis broke out in the mid-1970s. A dramatic rise in the price of oil had an unfortunate affect on Spain’s economic situation, and because of its reliance on oil and the fall in world demand for steel and shipbuilding, Spain became less competitive with the new industrialized countries in South East Asia. As a result, the public deficit increased and there was a steep fall in commercial surpluses. Inflation soon followed when the authorities tried to make amends instead of adjusting domestic prices and applying an expansive financial policy. The government financed these losses by recurring to the currency reserves, putting Spain knee-deep into debt. Finally, in 1977, the “Moncloa Pacts” were adopted, which included the devaluation of the peseta, a moderately restrictive monetary policy, and an income policy with a commitment to begin structural reform. This was unsuccessful as the industry failed to adapt itself to the new parameters of prices and demand, continuing to throw Spain deeper and deeper into debt until 1982. To plainly state the economic situation for Spain from 1975 to 1982, the Gross Domestic Product grew by an average rate of 1.5%, while the gross formation of capital decreased by an average rate of 2.5%. Spain political situation was revolutionized when the first socialist government took over in 1982. These unfortunate new leaders were handed down high inflation rates (14%), low growth rates, a deficit in the balance of payments on current account of an eye-popping four billions dollars, as well as a public deficit of almost 6% of the GDP, and all the while housing a high and growing rate of unemployment. In response to this, a gradual adjustment policy was created to reduce inflation, the foreign debt, the public debt, and unemployment. In this three-year period of adjustment, authorities established the basis for sustained growth and prepared the Spanish economy for future entry into the European Economic Community (EEC). With the eventual fall of international prices, primarily oil, money and the dollar, the international economy in general, and the economies of the industrialized countries and of Spain in particular, the country entered a favorable state of expanding growth. On January 1, 1986, Spain finally ascended to the EEC. From 1986-1990, the Spanish economy received an unprecedented financial growth after joining the EEC. This economic expansion generated a great deal of employment, due to a greater demand for labor relating to increased production and the increasingly flexible measures in the labor market. Unemployment decreased to 4.2%, and this economic growth became Europe’s most rapid through these five years, and the public deficit decreased along with the rate of inflation. The gross formation of capital increased to an annual average rate of 14.1%, which doubled the average growth of investment in the OECD countries during this period. From 1985-1989, the gross formation of capital grew from 19% to 26% of the GDP. However, Spain’s economy became so fired up that its domestic demand increased to an annual rate of almost three points above production. Their inability to keep up with the demand consequently led to another ride back to high inflation rates. This surplus in demand over national production created a rise in domestic prices and a growth in foreign purchases. Because of the supply and demand policies, (also known as overheating) subsequently, certain measures have been taken. Such measures included the reducing of the growth of demand and increasing the possible expansion of the economy. Since then, and in all regard to need, monetary and fiscal policy has been provided. To complement these policies of restrictive demand and more flexible supply, the government has tried to stimulate an income policy on several occasions. This has especially come into effect in the past five years, as Spain has been forced to live within its means and state spending has been slashed to control the soaring budget deficit. However, tourism remains its most important industry, accounting for about 4% of the GDP and employing approximately 10% of the workforce. Also accounting for a large part of the workforce are chemicals and petrol-chemicals, heavy industry, food and beverages, as well as being Europe’s fourth largest manufacturing country. Other growth areas besides tourism include insurance, property development, electronics, and financial services. The modern labor market in Spain has been characterized by the peak in the creation of new jobs from 1986-1990, as well as the large reduction in employment in 1992 during the following economic deceleration. Approximately two million new jobs were created during the economic expansion, which amounts to a growth rate of 3% per year. 1,100,000 people took advantage of this situation and entered the labor market during this period, 896,000 of them of whom were women. Also during this period, the average wage increase was 7.4%, compared to an average inflation rate of 6.5%. However, during the 1991-1992 economic deceleration period, production grew by 1.75% in real terms while employment decreased by an average of 0.85%. Wages increased by an average of 8.5%, which displays a decline in job creation that corresponds with the increasing expense of the work factor and its substitution by capital. A fixed production factor was labeled to the high wage claims in 1990 which failed to have an immediate impact in the reduction of employment. This continued through 1991 and 1992, where high wage demands continued among the labor force, which forced companies to reduce the size of their staff. The development of wage increases is important to the Spanish government, and in an attempt to keep up with the European Community wages, a wage increase of 2% was set for public sector employees in 1993. The rate of unemployment remains high, as it has been for most of this century. At 21.3%, the unemployment rate is considerably higher than the average unemployment rate of the European Community, which is just above 10%. While governmental spending had dramatically increased between 1986-1990 to facilitate the slightly expansionist growth, spending slowed down in 1991 in order to balance the spending out when the growth was neutral, rather than expansionist or restrictive. In 1985, non-financial state spending was 21.6% of GDP while rising to 23.2% of GDP in 1989, and remaining at more or less the same level up to 1991 when it was 23.7% of GDP. In 1986, the Spanish public administrations’ spending was roughly 3.5% of GDP, gradually increasing to about 5% of GDP in 1989. In the past decade, the figure has remained constant. Also, ever since 1986, public investment spending in the European Community has been maintained at around 3% of GDP. To set Spain on the right “expansionist” track as far as the budget goes compared to the rest of the EU, a fiscal policy coordination accord was constructed in the beginning of 1992. In an attempt to solve the problem of excess demand, a monetary policy, which raised interest rates, was produced to hinder investment demand in order to slow down the progress of Spain before it went deeper into economic recession. However, a new policy is being created that will force fiscal policy to play a more central role in the containment of demand, therefore leading to lower interest rates. The present structure of debt in Spain is quite biased towards the short term, which poses future difficulties for the Treasury financing in the long run. In modern market economies, progressive taxation and distribution of income in the form of services and benefits through welfare institutions are the two tools which are utilized to correct social inequalities. Spain was an exception to this rule up until the eighties and made serious economic adjustments. In comparison to the European Community, the tax burden is below average as it has increased from 28.1% to 36.4% since 1986. The current tax system consists of true taxes, dues and fees, and special levies. These serve to pay back any benefit as a result of public works or services. Government is involved in crediting and stocking markets: “administrative participation is confined to regulating the conditions for access by and permanence of regular operators and to monitoring the operations of financial enterprises, in accordance with the standard practice in economically developed nations.” Despite its rocky past Spain has made leaps and bounds toward an economy that is competitive with the rest of the European world. With a strong new government and more macroeconomic reforms to keep inflation and unemployment down while manipulating the interest rate, Spain could be an important player in the European as well as the world’s economy. Bibliography: Burton, Kevin.1994. The Business Culture in Spain. Butterworth-Heinemann ltd., Jordan Hill, Oxford OX2 8DP The ABC Country Book of Spain. January 12, 2000 http://www.immigration-usa.com/wfb/spain_economy.html Josephine Quintero. Economy of Spain. January 12, 2000 http://www.andalucia.com/spain/economy/home.htm CIA World Fact Book. January 12, 2000 Spain http://www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.html World Bank Group. January 12, 2000 http://www.worldbank.org/html/schools/regions/eca/spain.htm Tradeport. January 12, 2000. http://www.tradeport.org/ts/countries/spain/trends.html The Economy of Spain. January 12, 2000 http://www.travelnet.co.il/espagne/menu/TheEconomyOfSpain.htm Clements, John, ed. Clements’ Encyclopedia of World Governments. Dallas, TX: Political Research, 1996. Culturegrams 1995. Brigham Young University: David M. Kennedy Center for International Study, 1998. German Economy. http://www.cnnfn.com “Germany.” Encyclopedia Britanica. 1997 edition. CIA World Fact Book. January 12, 2000 Germany http://www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.html Turner, Barry, ed. Statesman’s Yearbook 1998-1999. New York, NY: Macmillan Reference, 1998. United States Department of State. Germany. Background Notes. Washington, DC: Department of State, 1995. Country Data. January 12, 2000 http://www.worldbank.org/data/countrydata/countrydata.html World Bank Group. January 12, 2000 http://www.worldbank.org/html/schools/regions/eca/germany.htm
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