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Ive always known about the Hindsight Bias

m to democracy. This wasn’t so obvious to Jeanne Kirkpatrick in 1980. She stated that “The history of this century provides no grounds for expecting that radical totalitarian regimes will transform themselves.” This isn’t saying that common sense is wrong, just that it often comes about after the fact. Many would say that common sense describes the past better than it predicts the future.After hearing about this phenomenon, I started thinking to myself how often this happens. I think everyone has heard someone do this and also done it themselves. I have many friends that when doing anything from watching Jeopardy to playing Who Wants to be a Millionaire on the computer claim to have known the answer after they answer it falsely and find out the actual answer. When thinking about it, everyone should win the million dollars since they know everything. In relating this to my own life, the person that sticks out the most to me is my girlfriends mother. Since I don’t live in the same city as her, I don’t experience it as much as I used to. When I do go down however, it never fails that anything I tell her has happened, she “knew it would.” And since I learned about the hindsight, I decided I would put her to the test. A couple friends of mine go to school here and they have been dating for around two years. One morning, while talking to the man of the relationship, he informed me that he and his girlfriend had gotten into a fight. This gave me an idea. The next time I went home, I started discussing this with Terri (my girlfriend’s mother). For the purposes of psychological research, I added a couple minor details to her about the fight.(I told her they had broken up due to a cheating incident) When told about this, she responded with “I knew that when that girl got to college she would get wild, I could have told you they would break up eventually.” Of course...

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