The Economic Union
The overall size of the EU economy in 1995, including the three new member states that joined the Union on January 1, 1995 was $7.1 trillion. Private consumption accounts for 63% of the EU's Gross Domestic Product, while gross fixed capital formation contributes 20.3 percent and government consumption adds an additional 17 percent (Hoover, 1995).

In terms of the distribution of economic activity, Germany has by far the largest economy, accounting for 29% of the EU's GDP, followed by France (18%), Italy (13%), and the United Kingdom (13 percent). Per capita income for the EU as a whole is about $21,748, ranging from over 180 percent of the average in Luxembourg to less than 70 percent in Spain, Greece and Portugal (Hoover, 1995).

Stagnation, Growth and the Economic Union

As stated in the introduction, in the first half of the 1980s, prior to the single-market program, the economies of the soon to be Economic Union countries experienced a surge in investment. Stagnation had reduced European competitiveness in the 1970s and the increasing inability of the European Community to function effectively and resolve problems led member governments to conclude that increased cooperation would be necessary to increase economic efficiency and competitiveness (Calingaert, 1988).

The European Community Commission published a white paper on "Completing the Internal Market" in June of 1985. This paper was a detailed plan for the removal of mo

 

The Maastricht treaty (the foundation document for the European Union) sets out tough budget guidelines that EU countries must meet in 1997 for entry into European Monetary Union in 1999. The IMF worries that the recovery in Europe may be weaker than projected because it may by restrained by the short-term contractionary effects of fiscal consolidation efforts being implemented in most EU countries partly to satisfy the Maastrich criteria by 1997. Paradoxically, if growth is held back by the drive to slash budget deficits, that will make the Maastricht criteria that much more difficult. Slower growth tends to bloat budget deficits by pushing up government spending on unemployment and other benefits and depressing tax revenues from economic activity (Miller, 1996).

According to Paul Krugman (1996), in the early 1980s the problem of European unemployment became an obsession with many European economists. They began to argue that high European unemployment was the unintended byproduct of the European welfare state, which reduced the incentives both for firms to offer jobs and for workers to accept them.

The International Monetary Fund has generally painted a bleak picture of Europe, as a region plagued by sky-high unemployment and boxed in by its drive to launch a single currency in 1998 (Miller, 1996). In the short-run the IMF sees some better times ahead for Europe, estimating that growth will average 2.5% in 1997 up from approximately 1.6 percent in 1996. However, the IMF also believes that its economic projections could prove too optimistic, especially if Europe's drive to cut budget deficits under the Maastricht Treaty acts as more of a drag on growth than expected (Miller, 1996).

In the 1960s, European unemployment rates were consistently lower than those in the U.S. Indeed, American labor economists often wondered why the U.S. could not seem to push its unemployment rate down to European levels. But over the course of the 1970s European unemploym

 
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