Industrial Development in Great Britain
Mingay, eds. Land, Labour, and Population in the Industrial Revolution (New York: Barnes & Noble, 1967), 207.

3R. M. Hartwell, The Industrial Revolution and Economic Growth (London: Methuen & Co., 1971), 18586.

the driving engine of industrialization was demand generated by

an increasingly prosperous home market.4

If the entire world were today in a "developed" economic condition, the question of the forces that drove Britain's industrialization would be primarily of historical interest. It would be simply a matter of seeking to understand an important episode in the past. But, in fact, about three quarters of the world's people live in a state of persistant underdevelopment and consequent mass poverty. This makes the question of development economics one of the most pressing issues of the contemporary world. Thus we tend to look at the Industrial Revolution in Britain not only to understand the past, but to seek guidance for the present. Is the key to economic "takeoff" in an underdeveloped country to be found in exports, or in development of a domestic market? The familiar example of Japan and other East Asian newlyindustrialized economies seems outwardly to favor the export theory. One can drive down any American street and see Toyotas and Hyundais as physical testimony of the power of exports to fuel economic growth. But the real driving force of industrialization may be more complex, for these exports depend on alread

 

These conditions might have directly favored industrialization in one respect, by freeing more of the population for other pursuits, while producing sufficient output to feed them. However, in the absense of a preexisting market, the more likely outcome of a production increase would simply be falling prices and an agricultural depression. The total demand for agricultural products, which are mainly "food and clothing" shows little elasticity in volume, although the "basket" of goods demanded is highly variable. Unless the extra output can find new markets, it will in effect simply pile up in barns. The surplus will drive prices down, and with them farm earnings.

Agriculture represents a special case. Eighteenthcentury Britain was still predominantly an agricultural society. Therefore, expansion of the agricultural sector will hardly appear as "unbalanced" growth, simply because it touches so much of centemporary economic life. But agricultural expansion could still play the functional role of "unbalanced growth" if its development was disproportionate, and favorably changed the balance of trade in the whole economy.

The strongest argument for the exportdriven theory may perhaps be found not by looking at industrial production and exports in the second half of the eighteenth century, but at agricultural developments at a somewhat earlier period, in the first half of the century. This was a period of rapid agricultural progress in Britain.5 This progress was not "industrial" in the modern sense, since there was little application of new technology to the land. What took place instead was a great rationalization of farming practices, with (intensely controversial) "enclosures" of previouslycommon land

 
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