Then he projects a cause-and-effect cycle of global human development from the current period into the twenty-first century, based on such factors as adult literacy, gross domestic product, and regional environmental and political status. This approach involves examination of a variety of roughly equivalent cases (i.e., global regions and political economies) that may be set against the variables of unavoidable change: population, development of high technology, environmental alterations.
The basic message of this book is that the twenty-first century is being shaped by a raft of complex problems that will develop in an environment of perpetual instability. This book is a cautionary tale that the incipient threat of instability comes from the massiveness and substance of the problems themselves, which have gotten out of hand for a variety of reasons.
To make his case, Kennedy assumes that corporate interests are the principal agents of international development and change and to some degree lie outside nation-state influence or politics. Secondly, Kennedy assumes that older concerns than those presented by population explosions, the technological revolution, and the global economy tend to exacerbate the negative and limit the positive changes that are going on as the world moves to the twenty-first century. In o