The coefficient of this relationship indicates the magnitude of the response of the surplus to GDP that is embodied in the CBO's calculation of the full-employment surplus." (Auerbach, 2002, p. 10).
Since Nike is a company with a strong presence in Japan, an article on Auerbach's article by Fumio Hayashi, one of Auerbach's discussants, is relevant to this analysis. Hayashi's article, titled "Commentary: Is There a Role for Discretionary Fiscal Policy?" agrees in the larger sense with Auerbach's but makes some minor adjustments to bring Auerbach's points in lind with Japan's ebonomy. Hayashi points out that the SVAR multiplier is much higher for Japan than for U.S., so it is likely that a large tax cut would relieve the long Japanese recession. He also states that "The paper's finding that discretionary policy is countercyclical is somewhat surprising, given the general perception that the United States no longer practices Keynesian stabilization fiscal policy." (Hayashi, 2002, p. 165). Hayashi also points out that fiscal variables are sensitive to GDP and cites the government's GDP forecast error as a significant variable. Since actual GDP growth is not known until several months after the end of the fiscal year, the impact of the gap between the forecast and the actual does not manifest until then. This is a loose end that can cause difficulties in the fiscal policy. Overall, however, he agrees with most of Auerbach's assertions, arguing in the end that one change he would propose would be to change the title from "Is There A Role for Discretionary Fiscal Policy?" to "Is There A Role for Stabilization Fiscal Policy?"
The effect of the information in these two articles on Nike is subjective, of course, but can be summarized by saying that fiscal po