The Role for Discretionary Fiscal Policy
S. fiscal policy has been responsive to both cyclical and budgetary conditions. Table 3, Determinants of Discretionary Spending, ôrelates actual year-to-year changes in discretionary spending to the prior yearÆs GDP gap and budget surplus, all relative to full-employment GDPö in contrast to just considering changes in forecast spending of a discretionary nature. The table shows that the GDP gap was insignificant, and Auerbach concludes that this indicates a weak relationship, at least at the annual level. He further states that ôthe magnitude and timing of discretionary responses is only part of the story concerning the efficacy of fiscal policy as a tool for macroeconomic stabilization.ö (Auerbach, 2002, p. 10). He goes on to discuss automatic stabilizers, federal spending and federal tax revenues in particular. He measures the strength of automatic stabilizers by relating the gap ôbetween the full-employment surplus and the unadjusted surplus to the contemporaneous gap between GDP and full employment GDP. The coefficient of this relationship indic

 

http://www.kc.frb.org/Publicat/sympos/2002/pdf/auerbach.909.pdf

ates the magnitude of the response of the surplus to GDP that is embodied in the CBOÆs calculation of the full-employment surplus.ö (Auerbach, 2002, p. 10).

The effect of the information in these two articles on Nike is subjective, of course, but can be summarized by saying that fiscal policy has a significant impact on businesses like Nike because it affects the stabilization of the economy. In a stable economy, Nike does better; in an unstable economy, it suffers, as would most businesses. Since Nike itself has no control over fiscal policy, it is heartening to note that fiscal policy is not the only agent of economic stabilization; there are also automatic stabilizers that can come into play and offset any unfortunate fiscal policy that might cause instability and reduce the GDP.

Since Nike is a company with a strong presence in Japan, an article on AuerbachÆs article by Fumio Hayashi, one of AuerbachÆs discussants, is relevant to this analysis. HayashiÆs article, titled ôCommentary: Is There a Role for Dis

 
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    Discretionary Spending | Fiscal Policyö | Hayashi SVAR | Product GDP | Policyö Auerbach | fiscal policy | According Auerbach | Retrieved April | Hayashi AuerbachÆs | fiscal policyö | Role Discretionary | Discretionary Fiscal | role discretionary fiscal | role discretionary | discretionary fiscal | auerbach 2002 | ôis role | automatic stabilizers | budget surplus | auerbachÆs article | gdp gap | discretionary fiscal policyö | fiscal policy retrieved | retrieved april 2 | policy retrieved april |  
   
 
 
 
   
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